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Inflation, interest rates, and recession risk: farmland’s resilience in the face of uncertainty

Manulife Investment Management
Weiyi Zhang, Ph.D., Senior Agricultural Economist

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Farmland investment performance has shown historical resilience in periods of economic disruption—how will it fare as risks of a near-term recession rise?

What drives farmland investment performance?

The financial performance of farmland and agricultural investments is driven by both market-specific factors and developments in the global macroeconomic environment. The recent dramatic changes in the U.S. economy, including rising inflation and interest rates, are already affecting farmland operations and income. The financial performance of farmland and agricultural investments has shown incredible resilience during previous recessions and periods of economic turbulence. This resilience will be tested as headwinds build, with economic growth slowing and the risk of a near-term recession on the rise.

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